It is always interesting to see how some of the larger companies move. In this article http://www.businessinsider.com/adobe-engineer-heres-why-we-killed-flash-for-mobile-2011-11 it shows that Adobe is not going to focus on supporting Flash for mobile devices. This was a hot topic between Apple and Adobe, with the iPhone not supporting Flash, but it looks like Adobe is deciding to agree.
I think Flash will still be around in some form, maybe it will create HTML5 instead of swfs, or maybe it will generate something else… time will tell if something can fill that 2D content that is relatively fast to implement on the web, but I am sure both Adobe, Google, Apple (and Microsoft) will all be playing close attention.
I am sure by the iPhone 6 there will still be something else important that separates the mobile devices 😛